Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.008100 0.009090 0.010175 0.011456 0.012931 0.014582 0.016576
2025-04-20 0.006470 0.007785 0.009350 0.011365 0.013912 0.017052 0.021259
2025-04-27 0.005763 0.007265 0.009155 0.011739 0.015225 0.019836 0.026511
2025-05-04 0.005134 0.006710 0.008781 0.011750 0.015975 0.021894 0.031037
2025-05-11 0.004681 0.006308 0.008529 0.011845 0.016790 0.024083 0.036035
2025-05-18 0.004252 0.005881 0.008174 0.011723 0.017235 0.025741 0.040438
2025-05-25 0.003957 0.005606 0.007997 0.011822 0.017995 0.027950 0.046060
2025-06-01 0.003655 0.005287 0.007715 0.011716 0.018398 0.029606 0.050985
2025-06-08 0.003326 0.004897 0.007285 0.011319 0.018260 0.030307 0.054268
2025-06-15 0.003136 0.004702 0.007137 0.011361 0.018858 0.032357 0.060448
2025-06-22 0.003044 0.004651 0.007211 0.011776 0.020152 0.035844 0.070144
2025-06-29 0.002835 0.004396 0.006926 0.011537 0.020221 0.037000 0.075148
2025-07-06 0.002624 0.004129 0.006616 0.011249 0.020215 0.038117 0.080562
2025-07-13 0.002470 0.003948 0.006440 0.011194 0.020665 0.040260 0.088913
2025-07-20 0.002398 0.003900 0.006488 0.011558 0.021995 0.044475 0.103326
2025-07-27 0.002280 0.003761 0.006362 0.011570 0.022594 0.047174 0.114570
2025-08-03 0.002183 0.003654 0.006282 0.011663 0.023376 0.050421 0.128177
2025-08-10 0.002067 0.003502 0.006107 0.011543 0.023670 0.052550 0.139180
2025-08-17 0.001988 0.003411 0.006040 0.011640 0.024465 0.056057 0.155366
2025-08-24 0.001890 0.003281 0.005886 0.011536 0.024777 0.058380 0.168530
2025-08-31 0.001768 0.003096 0.005612 0.011146 0.024357 0.058691 0.175126
2025-09-07 0.001702 0.003015 0.005537 0.011187 0.024997 0.062019 0.193301
2025-09-14 0.001679 0.003013 0.005622 0.011594 0.026616 0.068436 0.225145